Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e55c110a1539a487e7574543455a7ff608c7d795e97a2d8c814a44cc5054e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana Grizzliesof Weber State Wildcats, Montana Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 68c | 3,849$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Montana Grizzlies | 47c | 3,556$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.67 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 2,368$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.81 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Weber State Wildcats | 33c | 1,275$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.75 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Montana Grizzlies | 75c | 1,024$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.16 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Weber State Wildcats | 53c | 1,005$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.65 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Weber State Wildcats | 32c | 746.05$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 702.57$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 597.84$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 430$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Montana Grizzlies | 70c | 368.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Weber State Wildcats | 34c | 332.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 320.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Montana Grizzlies | 65c | 320.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Montana Grizzlies | 70c | 300.1$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 294.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Weber State Wildcats | 34c | 234.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Weber State Wildcats | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Montana Grizzlies | 54c | 203.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Weber State Wildcats | 34c | 188.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Montana Grizzlies | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Weber State Wildcats | 36c | 138.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 134$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 30c | 126.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 125.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Weber State Wildcats | 38c | 118.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Montana Grizzlies | 70c | 109.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Montana Grizzlies | 58c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Montana Grizzlies | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 80.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Weber State Wildcats | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Weber State Wildcats | 35c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Weber State Wildcats | 40c | 70.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Weber State Wildcats | 45c | 61.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Weber State Wildcats | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 68c | 53.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Weber State Wildcats | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Weber State Wildcats | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Montana Grizzlies | 68c | 48.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Montana Grizzlies | 34c | 32.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Weber State Wildcats | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Montana Grizzlies | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 69c | 28.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…3867backed Montana Grizzlies | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2188…24a5backed Weber State Wildcats | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Montana Grizzlies | 65c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana Grizzliesthis page
- Spread: Montana Grizzlies (-5.5)Montana Grizzlies won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.