Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efb52ccd3a55069f2676f1c264113c97526084f3fde1701991b7ecda996d023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Ronaldo Team, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ronaldo Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Bubliki | 75c | 1,017$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Ronaldo Team | 28c | 619.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Ronaldo Team | 40c | 548.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Bubliki | 65c | 507.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Ronaldo Team | 33c | 279.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Bubliki | 67c | 216.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…1fbdbacked Ronaldo Team | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Ronaldo Team | 34c | 197.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Ronaldo Team | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bubliki | 55c | 100.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Ronaldo Team | 17c | 96.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Ronaldo Team | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 963 | 48.7%469 W · 494 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Ronaldo Team | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Bubliki | 77c | 18.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Ronaldo Team (-1.5) vs Bubliki (+1.5)Bubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 2 WinnerRonaldo Team won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 4 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.