Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4a3d213f077beb2595e32f71d889019e84cadafd470dd46d9695ad90b6607f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ronaldo Teamof Ronaldo Team, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Bubliki | 43c | 2,448$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.71 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Bubliki | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Ronaldo Team | 56c | 1,555$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.35 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bubliki | 41c | 1,445$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.85 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Ronaldo Team | 67c | 1,100$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…394dbacked Ronaldo Team | 59c | 1,011$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Bubliki | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Ronaldo Team | 66c | 749.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Bubliki | 40c | 622$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Bubliki | 45c | 600.68$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…7459backed Ronaldo Team | 63c | 564.47$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Ronaldo Team | 67c | 497.6$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Ronaldo Team | 59c | 388.73$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Ronaldo Team | 53c | 250.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Bubliki | 19c | 207.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bubliki | 27c | 207$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bubliki | 34c | 207$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Ronaldo Team | 56c | 200.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…72d6backed Ronaldo Team | 55c | 185.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bubliki | 18c | 184.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Bubliki | 42c | 128.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Bubliki | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Ronaldo Team | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Bubliki | 47c | 106.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Bubliki | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Ronaldo Team | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…1fbdbacked Bubliki | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Bubliki | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ronaldo Team | 53c | 94.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Bubliki | 33c | 92.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Ronaldo Team | 59c | 82.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Bubliki | 37c | 74.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Bubliki | 40c | 69.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bubliki | 45c | 68.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Bubliki | 34c | 59.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 58.6%136 W · 96 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Bubliki | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Bubliki | 60c | 30.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bubliki | 43c | 26.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Ronaldo Team | 66c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bubliki | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Ronaldo Team | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Ronaldo Team | 66c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Ronaldo Team (-1.5) vs Bubliki (+1.5)Bubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 3 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 4 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.