Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e7d3ef4ad6b7385140204bccb6b3d0d7b06ca7a3aa6a805da6bac48c8f4b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Ronaldo Team, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Bubliki | 74c | 2,892$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.71 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ronaldo Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…71a5backed Ronaldo Team | 18c | 889.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed Ronaldo Team | 43c | 593.55$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.66 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ronaldo Team | 26c | 573.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bubliki | 57c | 500$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Ronaldo Team | 40c | 486.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bubliki | 57c | 437.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…7459backed Bubliki | 62c | 366.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Bubliki | 75c | 343.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Ronaldo Team | 4c | 286.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Bubliki | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Ronaldo Team | 28c | 208.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Ronaldo Team | 46c | 186.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…72d6backed Bubliki | 68c | 178.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ronaldo Team | 36c | 122.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Ronaldo Team | 44c | 102.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Bubliki | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…1fbdbacked Ronaldo Team | 17c | 88.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Bubliki | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Bubliki | 60c | 52.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ronaldo Team | 37c | 51.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…6844backed Bubliki | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ronaldo Team | 34c | 30.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Ronaldo Team | 34c | 29.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Bubliki | 68c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ronaldo Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Bubliki | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…401ebacked Bubliki | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 359 | 43.7%157 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Ronaldo Team (-1.5) vs Bubliki (+1.5)Bubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 2 WinnerRonaldo Team won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 3 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 4 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.