Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac577cf1aded889a53a3ac51f844d14ac0164908f53c4e46da3811bda61bd770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Ronaldo Team, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Ronaldo Team | 3c | 3,985$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Bubliki | 34c | 2,557$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.54 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Bubliki | 52c | 2,405$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.45 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Ronaldo Team | 63c | 2,139$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Ronaldo Team | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ronaldo Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bubliki | 36c | 1,898$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.92 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Ronaldo Team | 66c | 1,594$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.2 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Ronaldo Team | 57c | 1,491$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Ronaldo Team | 67c | 1,418$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.71 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Ronaldo Team | 50c | 1,325$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.4 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Bubliki | 34c | 1,245$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.52 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Ronaldo Team | 54c | 1,147$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Bubliki | 50c | 887.72$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.02 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Bubliki | 65c | 864.61$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.12 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Bubliki | 32c | 702.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…71a5backed Ronaldo Team | 50c | 697.9$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Ronaldo Team | 62c | 561.8$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ronaldo Team | 66c | 527.65$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.36 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Ronaldo Team | 66c | 521.68$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…7459backed Bubliki | 33c | 493.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Bubliki | 34c | 492.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…394dbacked Bubliki | 33c | 476.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Ronaldo Team | 28c | 465$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Ronaldo Team | 72c | 401.78$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bubliki | 33c | 363.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.06 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Ronaldo Team | 6c | 333.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 295 | 54.2%160 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Bubliki | 47c | 322.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Ronaldo Team | 67c | 288.22$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ronaldo Team | 20c | 270$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bubliki | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Bubliki | 28c | 231.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Bubliki | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bubliki | 50c | 200.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Bubliki | 27c | 195.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked Bubliki | 33c | 182.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Bubliki | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ronaldo Team | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Bubliki | 23c | 112$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Bubliki | 64c | 109.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Ronaldo Team | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Ronaldo Team | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Bubliki | 25c | 96.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Bubliki | 41c | 88.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Ronaldo Team | 57c | 88.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Ronaldo Team | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Bubliki | 33c | 69.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Bubliki | 72c | 69.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Bubliki | 66c | 64.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Bubliki | 36c | 62.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Bubliki | 31c | 58.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Ronaldo Team | 68c | 52.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce52…dbffbacked Bubliki | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c87…f92bbacked Ronaldo Team | 40c | 31.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Ronaldo Team | 76c | 21.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Ronaldo Team (-1.5) vs Bubliki (+1.5)Bubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 2 WinnerRonaldo Team won
- LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 3 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.