Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f2d4f0fad692cfe1eb9bdfcfe03726b8cb0439071b865f0f8a4f300d30053a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,426$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…88b2backed No | 71c | 9,195$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 6,120$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 4,931$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 4,848$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.88 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 4,502$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.39 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.81 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 12c | 2,241$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 1,707$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 52c | 1,376$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.72 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed No | 42c | 1,230$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…0156backed Yes | 46c | 1,212$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,076$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f2…0e0dbacked Yes | 11c | 906.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 6c | 900$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 50c | 830$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 66c | 758.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…9953backed No | 65c | 743$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 739$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 54c | 699.24$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.7 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 610.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.05 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 10c | 603.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 30c | 568$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.77 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 61c | 410.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 39c | 399.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 68c | 342.04$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 7c | 308.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 31c | 306.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 66c | 303.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 35c | 290$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 51c | 288.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 10c | 288.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 55c | 270.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 267.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 229.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 10c | 201.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 12c | 167.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…bf93backed No | 38c | 167.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 7c | 166.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 38c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…91bebacked Yes | 8c | 143$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 10c | 141.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 12c | 128.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 44c | 122.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 119.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 38c | 117.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…868cbacked Yes | 9c | 112.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 12c | 108.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 107.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 61c | 105.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 80c | 102.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 65c | 64.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…3aa5backed Yes | 16c | 62.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 45c | 58.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 65c | 42.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 25c | 42.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…cc74backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Yes | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…fb30backed No | 55c | 23.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 52c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d391backed Yes | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 66c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will PSV vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.