Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Lucas Poullain vs Mili Poljicak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd9fa9bbaf8382318429cfeacf17a929ad2e79b892fbf73ec07c64e1aba0bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mili Poljicakof Lucas Poullain, Mili Poljicak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Lucas Poullain | 29c | 8,356$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.9 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Mili Poljicak | 70c | 2,834$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.9 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Lucas Poullain | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 132 | 22%29 W · 103 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucas Poullain | 10c | 1,379$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mili Poljicak | 75c | 1,368$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.94 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mili Poljicak | 80c | 1,168$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mili Poljicak | 78c | 1,046$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lucas Poullain | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Mili Poljicak | 79c | 940.98$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lucas Poullain | 18c | 599.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Mili Poljicak | 71c | 501.36$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Lucas Poullain | 31c | 481.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mili Poljicak | 79c | 416$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mili Poljicak | 79c | 296$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Mili Poljicak | 77c | 259$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Mili Poljicak | 70c | 258.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Lucas Poullain | 7c | 253$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mili Poljicak | 79c | 219$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucas Poullain | 23c | 205.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Lucas Poullain | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Mili Poljicak | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mili Poljicak | 72c | 183.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lucas Poullain | 25c | 153.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lucas Poullain | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Mili Poljicak | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Mili Poljicak | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Lucas Poullain | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Lucas Poullain | 24c | 98.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lucas Poullain | 31c | 89.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Mili Poljicak | 71c | 83.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Lucas Poullain | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lucas Poullain | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mili Poljicak | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mili Poljicak | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Mili Poljicak | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Lucas Poullain | 23c | 58.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Mili Poljicak | 80c | 53.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lucas Poullain | 32c | 52.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lucas Poullain | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mili Poljicak | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mili Poljicak | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mili Poljicak | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Mili Poljicak | 71c | 35.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mili Poljicak | 75c | 35.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mili Poljicak | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Mili Poljicak | 76c | 29.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mili Poljicak | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Mili Poljicak | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Mili Poljicak | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Mili Poljicak | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mili Poljicak | 68c | 22.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…e033backed Mili Poljicak | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Mili Poljicak | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 293 | 52.2%153 W · 140 L | -21.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Mili Poljicak | 75c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Mili Poljicak | 71c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…a062backed Mili Poljicak | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.