CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401dfccecfa5c45a88e40818fd10a6d07c5c2caa661d17e30eee8170d2214a55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ShindeN | 61c | 2,150$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.5 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 38c | 1,705$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial | 40c | 1,611$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.85 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ShindeN | 62c | 937.39$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.12 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 57c | 865.34$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 46c | 596$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 62c | 564.47$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ShindeN | 54c | 369.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 45c | 335.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed ShindeN | 35c | 307$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 56c | 299.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked ShindeN | 63c | 278.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ShindeN | 62c | 227.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ShindeN | 26c | 227.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Imperial | 38c | 186.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed ShindeN | 54c | 186.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ShindeN | 62c | 159.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Imperial | 37c | 159$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Imperial | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Imperial | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed ShindeN | 53c | 65.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked ShindeN | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Imperial | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN | 61c | 53.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed ShindeN | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Imperial | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked ShindeN | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked ShindeN | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.