CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed0c2e51c6bcafc471d6214178d9636a91e4a33877fe853116ab22064113e8ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial | 63c | 2,277$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.49 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 56c | 1,645$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 60c | 1,585$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.95 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 56c | 1,565$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Imperial | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ShindeN | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ShindeN | 49c | 1,003$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.35 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 34c | 882.69$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 59c | 843$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 34c | 639$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Imperial | 58c | 626.68$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.96 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 59c | 565.03$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ShindeN | 38c | 484.21$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…97b6backed ShindeN | 53c | 457.8$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed ShindeN | 57c | 405.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Imperial | 43c | 354.91$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ShindeN | 40c | 349.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Imperial | 77c | 313.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked ShindeN | 21c | 291$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…b275backed ShindeN | 28c | 250.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Imperial | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ShindeN | 28c | 246$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…2285backed ShindeN | 43c | 225.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Imperial | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ShindeN | 42c | 187.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ShindeN | 28c | 184.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN | 48c | 181.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ShindeN | 38c | 175.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Imperial | 73c | 167.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial | 70c | 163.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ShindeN | 36c | 159.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked ShindeN | 28c | 153.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Imperial | 69c | 141.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Imperial | 67c | 133$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Imperial | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked ShindeN | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ShindeN | 30c | 116$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed ShindeN | 44c | 113.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 56c | 105.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Imperial | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ShindeN | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ShindeN | 36c | 91.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed ShindeN | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Imperial | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked ShindeN | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Imperial | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN | 34c | 70.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ShindeN | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked ShindeN | 48c | 64.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Imperial | 60c | 63.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Imperial | 51c | 57.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked ShindeN | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed ShindeN | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…d471backed ShindeN | 39c | 52.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 34c | 51.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed ShindeN | 30c | 45.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked ShindeN | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Imperial | 67c | 40.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Imperial | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ShindeN | 33c | 35.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial | 61c | 30.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed ShindeN | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Imperial | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Imperial | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Imperial | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked ShindeN | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Imperial | 56c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…ffd1backed Imperial | 68c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.