CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e3e999846742c12f8dd3604e910c7b1a9b0041184438885e8d0cba232e405d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial | 54c | 6,628$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.12 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed ShindeN | 59c | 5,357$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.06 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 46c | 2,461$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.11 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ShindeN | 43c | 2,188$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN | 52c | 1,668$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN | 49c | 1,562$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Imperial | 74c | 1,352$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.18 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 38c | 1,336$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.37 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ShindeN | 36c | 1,128$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Imperial | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ShindeN | 40c | 961.56$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed ShindeN | 34c | 679.41$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked ShindeN | 33c | 614.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed ShindeN | 38c | 513.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Imperial | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked ShindeN | 37c | 405$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial | 55c | 275.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked ShindeN | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 49c | 230.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 62c | 230.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 59c | 219.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 54c | 218$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ShindeN | 56c | 209.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Imperial | 40c | 195.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ShindeN | 37c | 191.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked ShindeN | 37c | 173$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ShindeN | 39c | 169.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Imperial | 36c | 158$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Imperial | 36c | 151$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial | 64c | 148.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 56c | 142.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ShindeN | 69c | 140.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Imperial | 38c | 139.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial | 27c | 126.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed ShindeN | 51c | 120.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ShindeN | 46c | 115.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ShindeN | 38c | 100.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ShindeN | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked ShindeN | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Imperial | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Imperial | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…7780backed ShindeN | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Imperial | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Imperial | 23c | 83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Imperial | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial | 46c | 78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Imperial | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked ShindeN | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked ShindeN | 37c | 56.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Imperial | 39c | 56.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Imperial | 53c | 54.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Imperial | 53c | 52.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Imperial | 66c | 46.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Imperial | 74c | 46.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed ShindeN | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed ShindeN | 47c | 37.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ShindeN | 63c | 34.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 41c | 34.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Imperial | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed ShindeN | 33c | 32.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ShindeN | 69c | 31.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ShindeN | 50c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed ShindeN | 44c | 23.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ShindeN | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed ShindeN | 66c | 21.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Imperial | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Imperial | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.