Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Joshua Sheehy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4049f3a127db8f08f116a72ac77ca2da9353c0f99d3c19c8bb49f9ae545e49c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evan Zhuof Evan Zhu, Joshua Sheehy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joshua Sheehy | 49c | 450.35$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.53 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Joshua Sheehy | 41c | 235$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Evan Zhu | 59c | 211$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Evan Zhu | 50c | 165.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Evan Zhu | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Evan Zhu | 61c | 149.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Evan Zhu | 66c | 133.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Joshua Sheehy | 35c | 130.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joshua Sheehy | 36c | 121.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Joshua Sheehy | 29c | 114.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Evan Zhu | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Evan Zhu | 64c | 113.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Evan Zhu | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Joshua Sheehy | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Evan Zhu | 61c | 61.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Joshua Sheehy | 42c | 59.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Evan Zhu | 69c | 49.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Joshua Sheehy | 48c | 46.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Evan Zhu | 70c | 45.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Evan Zhu | 58c | 44.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Evan Zhu | 72c | 35.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Joshua Sheehy | 33c | 34.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Evan Zhu | 67c | 33.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Joshua Sheehy | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Evan Zhu | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Evan Zhu | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Evan Zhu | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Evan Zhu | 71c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Evan Zhu | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.