Tennis · resolved market
Chisinau: Ilya Snitari vs Zdenek Kolar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406166de743ad4ab558502ae0353a3ad1df2a4b38e77689faac6feebfeada1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zdenek Kolarof Ilya Snitari, Zdenek Kolar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilya Snitari | 11c | 7,934$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ilya Snitari | 13c | 2,461$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.06 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zdenek Kolar | 80c | 2,362$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.55 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Ilya Snitari | 6c | 2,145$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Ilya Snitari | 14c | 1,220$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Ilya Snitari | 11c | 1,037$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilya Snitari | 11c | 639.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ilya Snitari | 12c | 539.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ilya Snitari | 12c | 529.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilya Snitari | 11c | 488.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ilya Snitari | 21c | 371.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Ilya Snitari | 8c | 343.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ilya Snitari | 11c | 201.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Ilya Snitari | 12c | 164.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Ilya Snitari | 13c | 161.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Ilya Snitari | 14c | 131.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f8…7191backed Ilya Snitari | 13c | 126.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…8a4cbacked Ilya Snitari | 10c | 119.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Ilya Snitari | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Ilya Snitari | 13c | 101.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilya Snitari | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ilya Snitari | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Ilya Snitari | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Ilya Snitari | 25c | 79.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Zdenek Kolar | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Zdenek Kolar | 76c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.