Tennis · resolved market
ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x407e8dc405d2c1ff6a64a91af6fc348667acf8ffb742daee20b9fe708e32a186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Sholokhovaof Maria Sholokhova, Anna Rogers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Anna Rogers | 20c | 845$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Maria Sholokhova | 78c | 772.19$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 52c | 659$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.92 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anna Rogers | 22c | 643.64$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Maria Sholokhova | 68c | 609.82$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Anna Rogers | 61c | 334.9$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Maria Sholokhova | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Anna Rogers | 14c | 151.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Anna Rogers | 45c | 141.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Rogers | 27c | 103.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Anna Rogers | 56c | 80.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Anna Rogers | 31c | 76.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anna Rogers | 41c | 76.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Anna Rogers | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Anna Rogers | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anna Rogers | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Anna Rogers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Sholokhova | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anna Rogers | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Anna Rogers | 68c | 25.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 70c | 24.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Maria Sholokhova | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Sholokhova | 56c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.