Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Magda Linette vs Venus Williams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4092d8a1a71abef5bc0b821da0b0d22a125a22713c21ebfd217cd068b6429875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linetteof Linette, Williams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Williams | 20c | 2,823$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Williams | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Williams | 20c | 1,814$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.12 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Linette | 60c | 1,664$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.57 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Williams | 22c | 1,609$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Williams | 14c | 714.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Linette | 76c | 517.46$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Williams | 14c | 484.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Williams | 29c | 439$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Linette | 77c | 344.59$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Williams | 32c | 330$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Williams | 8c | 318.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Williams | 29c | 273.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Williams | 39c | 271.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Williams | 39c | 237.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Williams | 25c | 233.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Linette | 79c | 211.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Linette | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Williams | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Williams | 25c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Williams | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Linette | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Williams | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Williams | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Linette | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Williams | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…a6efbacked Williams | 21c | 49.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Williams | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Linette | 65c | 46.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…732cbacked Williams | 29c | 44.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Linette | 76c | 42.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Williams | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Williams | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Williams | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Williams | 28c | 36.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Linette | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…7235backed Williams | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Linette | 59c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.