MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d6998961cd93fce1fce7a767505a634a7af88b371fac921e2e3546450b4e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 47c | 745.23$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.21 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…d64cbacked Lotte Giants | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 28c | 337.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 29c | 322.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 69c | 311$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 37c | 197.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 151.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 124.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SSG Landers | 29c | 116.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 114.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked SSG Landers | 32c | 111.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SSG Landers | 57c | 97.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 43c | 96.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked SSG Landers | 28c | 92.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 89.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 86.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 74.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 47c | 70.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SSG Landers | 26c | 69.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 78c | 68.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lotte Giants | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Lotte Giants | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked SSG Landers | 48c | 53.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 52.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed SSG Landers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 37.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lotte Giants | 71c | 31.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked SSG Landers | 47c | 28.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 45c | 26.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…8d5dbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…a6a9backed SSG Landers | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed SSG Landers | 51c | 24.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Lotte Giants | 54c | 24.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…677bbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…e701backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ff88backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…ef5abacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…9150backed Lotte Giants | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed SSG Landers | 62c | 20.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed SSG Landers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lotte Giants | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lotte Giants | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.