Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e6076c5b036078b2696c50192a8759b70ff337937e63bab325393fc3e6d52f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppersof Missouri State Bears, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri State Bears | 26c | 1,567$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Missouri State Bears | 26c | 1,379$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 75c | 819$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 75c | 565$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Missouri State Bears | 25c | 517.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 77c | 456.09$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Missouri State Bears | 15c | 447.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 76c | 319.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri State Bears | 27c | 281.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State Bears | 19c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 75c | 227$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 68c | 209.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State Bears | 14c | 197.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 77c | 171.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 72c | 170.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Missouri State Bears | 27c | 99.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 71c | 93.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri State Bears | 29c | 63.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri State Bears | 27c | 49.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Missouri State Bears | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 72c | 42.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 72c | 29.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 69c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersthis page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.