Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4180a703dfb7ac8f8704b3ee10d87a1a1d390d9142889f3fa6b8c1d2e8dbb3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc86a…ef2bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 0c | 16,330$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 8,333$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.38 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 57c | 5,566$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 72c | 2,191$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.64 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 2,077$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 13c | 2,058$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 58c | 1,832$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.59 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Green Bay Phoenix | 28c | 1,030$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 932$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.84 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 62c | 846.75$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 30c | 841.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 699$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.94 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 70c | 685.5$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 41c | 629.76$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 612.81$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 11c | 599.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 497.51$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 492.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 486.67$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.67 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 443$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 437.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 388.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Green Bay Phoenix | 41c | 348.56$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Green Bay Phoenix | 31c | 335.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 29c | 299.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 241.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…a980backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 79c | 206.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +333.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 19c | 178.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 75c | 168$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…cb30backed Green Bay Phoenix | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 20c | 148.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 22c | 135.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 21c | 119.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 76c | 116.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…7ae7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 21c | 111.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Green Bay Phoenix | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…530dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 99.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 87.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 24c | 75.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 59.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 54.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 65c | 45.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…7385backed Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 42.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…048abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 79c | 41.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Green Bay Phoenix | 31c | 38.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 33.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Green Bay Phoenix | 41c | 30.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Green Bay Phoenix | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…3f6fbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 59c | 24.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…fa9cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…1193backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 64c | 19.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 155.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 157.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 158.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-2.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-3.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-4.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.