TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Alabama State Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsof Bethune-Cookman Wildcats, Alabama State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e9b…945abacked Alabama State Hornets46c8,514$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.387140.8%29 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats65c7,248$4,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.395,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats67c4,144$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.91,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama State Hornets9c2,336$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.462,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Alabama State Hornets32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alabama State Hornets33c1,960$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.521,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama State Hornets36c1,497$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.613,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats42c1,335$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.271,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats76c915.45$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.453542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats44c864.86$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.382,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats68c722$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats67c618.54$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.993426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats49c505$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6525254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Alabama State Hornets41c501.14$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats56c360.87$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.112,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Alabama State Hornets36c355.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9966831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats56c322.01$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6258345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6840252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats55c182.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6117647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats55c176.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5675447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Alabama State Hornets37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats48c109.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.681,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats69c101$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.772,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alabama State Hornets29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Alabama State Hornets55c72.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats51c55.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.482,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Alabama State Hornets40c49.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats57c47.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4320452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats55c39.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.821,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats58c37.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.582,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Alabama State Hornets42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1225152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Alabama State Hornets44c32.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Alabama State Hornets39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats59c18.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.461,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats66c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0631666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.