Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Sinja Kraus vs Belinda Bencic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ba463c6a4db5e0d411d59d71e6cf29e3de335cd6c4a25e79279b4c79e368b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belinda Bencicof Sinja Kraus, Belinda Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sinja Kraus | 0c | 11,180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sinja Kraus | 12c | 9,120$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Sinja Kraus | 26c | 6,189$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 2,950$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sinja Kraus | 15c | 2,864$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.08 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinja Kraus | 22c | 2,177$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sinja Kraus | 22c | 1,625$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sinja Kraus | 11c | 1,434$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Sinja Kraus | 22c | 1,404$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Belinda Bencic | 80c | 1,368$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.89 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Belinda Bencic | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Belinda Bencic | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.25 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sinja Kraus | 1c | 1,195$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Sinja Kraus | 14c | 1,057$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sinja Kraus | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sinja Kraus | 12c | 988.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sinja Kraus | 22c | 931.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Sinja Kraus | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sinja Kraus | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sinja Kraus | 4c | 719.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sinja Kraus | 22c | 680.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Belinda Bencic | 72c | 676.39$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.39 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Belinda Bencic | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sinja Kraus | 21c | 606.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Belinda Bencic | 80c | 561$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Sinja Kraus | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Belinda Bencic | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Belinda Bencic | 73c | 368.8$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Sinja Kraus | 26c | 360.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Belinda Bencic | 77c | 332.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 272.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Sinja Kraus | 4c | 240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Belinda Bencic | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Sinja Kraus | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sinja Kraus | 21c | 184.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sinja Kraus | 18c | 181.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Sinja Kraus | 8c | 161.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Belinda Bencic | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Belinda Bencic | 74c | 149.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Belinda Bencic | 77c | 140.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Belinda Bencic | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Sinja Kraus | 24c | 104.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Sinja Kraus | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sinja Kraus | 15c | 74.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sinja Kraus | 18c | 71.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sinja Kraus | 22c | 60.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sinja Kraus | 25c | 58.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…d7c8backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 57.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Belinda Bencic | 77c | 51.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Belinda Bencic | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sinja Kraus | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Belinda Bencic | 79c | 45.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Belinda Bencic | 78c | 39.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…7354backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…8108backed Belinda Bencic | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Belinda Bencic | 78c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Belinda Bencic | 78c | 25.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Belinda Bencic | 75c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Belinda Bencic | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…49f2backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…677fbacked Belinda Bencic | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…d7a8backed Belinda Bencic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.