Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42fcae84c24940550343ee852b317c9ace7e8fe11244990f488837181328962c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked FUT Esports | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 1,852$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.76 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 1,413$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.96 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 14c | 1,327$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.81 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 1,265$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.34 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed FUT Esports | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FUT Esports | 33c | 749.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.25 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked FUT Esports | 22c | 734.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed FUT Esports | 13c | 676.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 335 | 46.6%156 W · 179 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed FUT Esports | 20c | 537.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 474.01$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates | 78c | 389.11$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 349.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…cf8bbacked FUT Esports | 13c | 321.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FUT Esports | 14c | 294.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 282.25$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FUT Esports | 19c | 266.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports | 23c | 265.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 80c | 251.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FUT Esports | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked FUT Esports | 27c | 184.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 182.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FUT Esports | 26c | 179$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed FUT Esports | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed FUT Esports | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked FUT Esports | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…c07cbacked FUT Esports | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 109.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 98.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed FUT Esports | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed FUT Esports | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked FUT Esports | 28c | 64.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed FUT Esports | 34c | 60.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 324 | 45.4%147 W · 177 L | +51.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed FUT Esports | 24c | 46.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FUT Esports | 24c | 43.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 42.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed FUT Esports | 34c | 36.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed FUT Esports | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 29.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 25.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Gentle Mates | 79c | 17.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Gentle Mates | 76c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaFUT Esports won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.