TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,665 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c1,750$833 inWon+$917.562,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c1,473$667 inWon+$806.072,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over43c1,000$429 inLost-$428.984946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under9c779.66$71 inWon+$708.912,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under3c777.76$22 inWon+$755.9838144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over68c731.15$500 inLost-$5002263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e27…08edbacked Over77c501.28$388 inLost-$387.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over60c483.61$290 inLost-$290.3681440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…7166backed Over77c422.74$327 inLost-$327.21540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c348.39$119 inWon+$229.122,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over45c300$136 inLost-$136.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c275$150 inWon+$124.851,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over6c266.37$16 inLost-$16.437046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over38c252.55$97 inLost-$96.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…39bbbacked Over50c200.56$100 inLost-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under58c168.24$98 inWon+$70.252576%19 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over38c120$46 inLost-$45.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over49c118.4$58 inLost-$58.4533446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over34c99.99$34 inLost-$344942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d5e…c32abacked Over52c96.83$50 inLost-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c96.1$36 inLost-$36.4133522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c90$53 inLost-$53.114641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over41c53.24$22 inLost-$21.931361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Over30c41.53$13 inLost-$12.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over49c40.83$20 inLost-$202050%10 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over57c30.15$17 inLost-$17.2338952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over44c30$13 inLost-$13.2127846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over77c29$22 inLost-$22.3310839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under69c23.76$16 inWon+$7.4138453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over66c22$14 inLost-$14.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c20$14 inWon+$5.8635944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.