TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under73c3,614$2,639 inWon+$974.532,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c2,205$516 inLost-$516.21,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c1,678$1,273 inWon+$404.183,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over7c1,555$103 inLost-$103.422,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over45c1,111$500 inLost-$499.9538744.4%172 W · 215 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c280.63$48 inLost-$47.5181440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c277$125 inLost-$124.651,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c276.89$125 inLost-$124.61,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca1…58acbacked Over42c117.65$49 inLost-$49.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c86.25$50 inWon+$36.4166250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over45c72.11$32 inLost-$32.4513650.7%69 W · 67 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over17c59.99$10 inLost-$10.333522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under62c55.1$34 inWon+$20.9497846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under76c52.63$40 inWon+$12.634278.6%33 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Over44c50$22 inLost-$2213839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under58c50$29 inWon+$2144356.2%249 W · 194 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under56c50$28 inWon+$2279554.1%430 W · 365 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under56c50$28 inWon+$2239357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c47.42$22 inLost-$21.8125641%105 W · 151 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under77c43.69$34 inWon+$10.0485260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under77c38$29 inWon+$8.6413467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under77c33.95$26 inWon+$7.958061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over39c25.65$10 inLost-$103119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Over39c25.65$10 inLost-$102825%7 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under77c22.71$18 inWon+$5.1629470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c19.93$12 inWon+$8.371,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under74c14.64$11 inWon+$3.871872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.