TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,895 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c3,396$1,856 inWon+$1,539.452,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over22c3,257$731 inLost-$731.41911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over37c2,460$907 inLost-$907.052,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over26c2,000$520 inLost-$5202937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c1,758$1,357 inWon+$400.573,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked Over51c600$306 inLost-$3062065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c368.66$278 inWon+$90.722,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c310$160 inWon+$150.51,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over28c300$84 inLost-$847328.8%21 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over41c300$123 inLost-$123933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Over9c299.99$27 inLost-$271435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c171.27$42 inLost-$42.3381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over18c80$14 inLost-$14.414641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c80$30 inLost-$30.423949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over71c59$42 inLost-$41.898636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under74c54.05$40 inWon+$14.054278.6%33 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under74c43$32 inWon+$11.1853564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over41c40$16 inLost-$16.45536.4%20 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under76c31.11$24 inWon+$7.4729470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over70c30$21 inLost-$20.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under76c24$18 inWon+$5.713467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under80c19.2$15 inWon+$3.9158061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.