TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
MH Hapoel Tel Avivof Atalanta BC, MH Hapoel Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv66c5,596$3,716 inWon+$1,880.353,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Atalanta BC38c3,267$1,241 inLost-$1,241.392,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atalanta BC20c3,081$608 inLost-$607.891,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv63c1,501$940 inWon+$561.132,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Atalanta BC62c806.55$500 inLost-$5001978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Atalanta BC45c400$180 inLost-$1802250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv55c396.21$218 inWon+$178.32,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv76c304.5$231 inWon+$73.081,03746.1%478 W · 559 L-2.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Atalanta BC54c259.98$140 inLost-$140.394755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv77c259.74$200 inWon+$59.743554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Atalanta BC64c166$106 inLost-$106.0618252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Atalanta BC63c157.54$100 inLost-$1003658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv36c113.87$41 inWon+$72.6881440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv61c106.11$65 inWon+$41.1985260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv62c101.24$62 inWon+$38.8658061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv71c100$71 inWon+$28.8113467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Atalanta BC41c76.86$32 inLost-$31.58636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv37c75$28 inWon+$47.2597846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv74c63.51$47 inWon+$16.5110948.6%53 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv72c53.38$38 inWon+$14.9429470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv76c48.12$37 inWon+$11.553164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked MH Hapoel Tel Aviv37c46.19$17 inWon+$29.2292050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Atalanta BC60c43$26 inLost-$25.812545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Atalanta BC62c30.59$19 inLost-$196543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv36c30.58$11 inWon+$19.5725641%105 W · 151 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv36c29.99$11 inWon+$19.193145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv76c29.7$23 inWon+$7.084168.3%28 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv37c28.19$10 inWon+$17.881,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed MH Hapoel Tel Aviv76c28.09$21 inWon+$6.8777141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Atalanta BC65c19.23$12 inLost-$12.55356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.