Tennis · resolved market
Tunis: Niels McDonald vs Daniil Glinka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438a38cb9f5b0661db7f34788d89c642c48df7e6f1f660655dcc93a32554327e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Glinkaof Niels McDonald, Daniil Glinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Daniil Glinka | 78c | 3,203$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.78 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels McDonald | 17c | 2,405$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.17 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Niels McDonald | 24c | 1,265$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniil Glinka | 78c | 1,188$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Niels McDonald | 15c | 791.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Niels McDonald | 20c | 747.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Niels McDonald | 39c | 499.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niels McDonald | 24c | 472.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Niels McDonald | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niels McDonald | 10c | 423.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Niels McDonald | 10c | 366.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Niels McDonald | 10c | 355.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Daniil Glinka | 63c | 239.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Niels McDonald | 20c | 235.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Niels McDonald | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Niels McDonald | 14c | 178.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Daniil Glinka | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Daniil Glinka | 61c | 163.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Niels McDonald | 14c | 153$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Niels McDonald | 14c | 149.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Niels McDonald | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Niels McDonald | 20c | 130.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Niels McDonald | 37c | 125.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Daniil Glinka | 75c | 107.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Daniil Glinka | 70c | 103.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Niels McDonald | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…a7aebacked Niels McDonald | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Daniil Glinka | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Daniil Glinka | 61c | 93.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Daniil Glinka | 65c | 76.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Daniil Glinka | 62c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Niels McDonald | 38c | 72.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Daniil Glinka | 62c | 69.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Niels McDonald | 25c | 69.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Niels McDonald | 30c | 51.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Daniil Glinka | 62c | 48.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daniil Glinka | 60c | 39.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Daniil Glinka | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Daniil Glinka | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Daniil Glinka | 61c | 29.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Niels McDonald | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Daniil Glinka | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Daniil Glinka | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Daniil Glinka | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74af…bc8bbacked Daniil Glinka | 76c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Daniil Glinka | 76c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Daniil Glinka | 80c | 17.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunis: Niels McDonald vs Daniil Glinkathis page
- Set 1 Winner: McDonald vs GlinkaGlinka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.