Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sakkari (-1.5) vs Dart (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438b6723f586c90b8d2006b6bceedac4f34e759ea5e4423a4f798ba9dad0b87a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakkariof Sakkari, Dart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Sakkari | 60c | 8,275$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.25 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Dart | 40c | 4,484$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.66 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dart | 39c | 2,190$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.03 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Sakkari | 58c | 2,144$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.69 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Dart | 42c | 1,012$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Dart | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dart | 39c | 930.66$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.96 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Dart | 40c | 601$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.62 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dart | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Dart | 42c | 494.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Sakkari | 55c | 169.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dart | 48c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Dart | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sakkari | 53c | 85.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Dart | 44c | 69.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Sakkari | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dart | 44c | 50.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dart | 40c | 36.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dart | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sakkari | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Sakkari | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Sakkari | 57c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Sakkari | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sakkari | 54c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Sakkari | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sakkari (-1.5) vs Dart (+1.5)this page
- Athens Open: Harriet Dart vs Maria SakkariMaria Sakkari won
- Set 1 Winner: Dart vs SakkariSakkari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.