Tennis · resolved market
Athens Open: Harriet Dart vs Maria Sakkari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb55e0f5dcf9db7357c4824c787532c95eaa6dde74b3af8203161d6a2b3af0bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Sakkariof Harriet Dart, Maria Sakkari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Maria Sakkari | 77c | 12,762$9,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.69 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 5,434$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.38 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…3974backed Maria Sakkari | 79c | 3,153$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 2,837$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.32 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Harriet Dart | 7c | 2,480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Harriet Dart | 22c | 2,272$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 2,255$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Harriet Dart | 27c | 2,182$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.8 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Harriet Dart | 1c | 1,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Sakkari | 75c | 1,218$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.57 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Harriet Dart | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Maria Sakkari | 79c | 896.03$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Harriet Dart | 20c | 832.15$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Harriet Dart | 14c | 799.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Harriet Dart | 19c | 759$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Harriet Dart | 18c | 475$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 427.35$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Harriet Dart | 24c | 400$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 325.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Maria Sakkari | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 285$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Maria Sakkari | 71c | 264.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Maria Sakkari | 72c | 260.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Maria Sakkari | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Harriet Dart | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Harriet Dart | 20c | 205$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Maria Sakkari | 71c | 157.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Harriet Dart | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…64d3backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 127.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Maria Sakkari | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Maria Sakkari | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Maria Sakkari | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maria Sakkari | 77c | 108.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Harriet Dart | 24c | 101.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Harriet Dart | 21c | 95.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 380 | 38.2%145 W · 235 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Harriet Dart | 22c | 86.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Harriet Dart | 23c | 83.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Maria Sakkari | 80c | 77.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Harriet Dart | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Harriet Dart | 23c | 59.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Maria Sakkari | 76c | 59.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Harriet Dart | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…4f75backed Harriet Dart | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Maria Sakkari | 71c | 52.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Harriet Dart | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…0bfebacked Harriet Dart | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Sakkari | 71c | 30.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 29.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Maria Sakkari | 71c | 25.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Maria Sakkari | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,084 | 52.6%570 W · 514 L | +31.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Maria Sakkari | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Maria Sakkari | 73c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Maria Sakkari | 72c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 372 | 53.8%200 W · 172 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Maria Sakkari | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Maria Sakkari | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Maria Sakkari | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Maria Sakkari | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athens Open: Harriet Dart vs Maria Sakkarithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Dart vs SakkariSakkari won
- Set Handicap: Sakkari (-1.5) vs Dart (+1.5)Sakkari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.