CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x439671e843127db97479baaab15a9e056d7fe0d0d1e911bb94285821e250201f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wingmanof Wingman, eternal premium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wingman | 58c | 456.26$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed eternal premium | 38c | 375.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Wingman | 54c | 370.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed eternal premium | 18c | 270.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed eternal premium | 10c | 242.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked eternal premium | 37c | 203$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wingman | 57c | 182.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked eternal premium | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 231 | 29%67 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed eternal premium | 54c | 158.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed eternal premium | 51c | 132.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Wingman | 36c | 128.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wingman | 61c | 108.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Wingman | 73c | 103.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed eternal premium | 62c | 100.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 310 | 51.3%159 W · 151 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked eternal premium | 35c | 97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wingman | 64c | 95.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wingman | 65c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked eternal premium | 34c | 92.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked eternal premium | 30c | 87.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wingman | 74c | 86.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…df09backed Wingman | 65c | 77.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Wingman | 63c | 76.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed eternal premium | 47c | 72.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Wingman | 67c | 66.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed eternal premium | 35c | 66.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked eternal premium | 28c | 58.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed eternal premium | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…1b2cbacked eternal premium | 39c | 46.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a04…945dbacked Wingman | 76c | 46.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked eternal premium | 25c | 40.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…5e70backed eternal premium | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed eternal premium | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed eternal premium | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Wingman | 56c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed eternal premium | 52c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Wingman | 55c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed eternal premium | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.