Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lexington: Hanna Chang vs Ayana Akli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c83986a1e4d3396178d5bbcba680274aa2f83bfd848616807199882dac1b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ayana Akliof Hanna Chang, Ayana Akli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Ayana Akli | 74c | 1,693$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ayana Akli | 73c | 1,684$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ayana Akli | 56c | 1,048$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hanna Chang | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hanna Chang | 25c | 885.03$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ayana Akli | 50c | 598.14$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.75 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Hanna Chang | 41c | 568.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Ayana Akli | 46c | 519.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.66 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Ayana Akli | 70c | 454.76$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Hanna Chang | 26c | 423.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hanna Chang | 31c | 358.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…01b7backed Ayana Akli | 78c | 267.73$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hanna Chang | 36c | 262.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Ayana Akli | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Hanna Chang | 25c | 228.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Ayana Akli | 61c | 223.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Ayana Akli | 52c | 206.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Hanna Chang | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Ayana Akli | 70c | 185.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Hanna Chang | 58c | 167.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Ayana Akli | 78c | 166.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Ayana Akli | 46c | 129.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Ayana Akli | 80c | 111.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hanna Chang | 27c | 81.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hanna Chang | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ayana Akli | 63c | 66.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hanna Chang | 29c | 66.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ayana Akli | 77c | 54.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Hanna Chang | 27c | 46.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hanna Chang | 34c | 46.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Hanna Chang | 41c | 39.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Ayana Akli | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hanna Chang | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Hanna Chang | 37c | 26.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Ayana Akli | 46c | 26.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ayana Akli | 49c | 26.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Hanna Chang | 51c | 26.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hanna Chang | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.