College Football · resolved market
Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4407151037d1a184fe30adb566d9c48d07122d911ef145c33d02409aea0e8350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Techof Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $842,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $971,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Virginia Tech | 15c | 259,145$38,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,871.76 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Virginia Tech | 15c | 170,712$25,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,606.84 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 60,610$9,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,697.56 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 39,024$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,243.87 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Virginia Tech | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Virginia Tech | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech | 15c | 16,800$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia Tech | 15c | 4,463$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.39 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…cd01backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 4,442$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Virginia Tech | 15c | 3,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Virginia Tech | 1c | 3,292$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Virginia Tech | 8c | 2,161$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 1,545$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Virginia Tech | 5c | 1,404$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Virginia Tech | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Virginia Tech | 2c | 1,072$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Virginia Tech | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Virginia Tech | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgia Tech | 78c | 670.08$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Virginia Tech | 9c | 545.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Virginia Tech | 4c | 496.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia Tech | 80c | 473.8$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virginia Tech | 4c | 466$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Virginia Tech | 15c | 334.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 313$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Virginia Tech | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Virginia Tech | 11c | 215.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Virginia Tech | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 186$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Virginia Tech | 15c | 171.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 168$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Virginia Tech | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Virginia Tech | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…6afdbacked Virginia Tech | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…4340backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Techthis page
- O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-14.5)Georgia Tech won
- Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.