Tennis · resolved market
Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs David Jorda Sanchis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44607e12c2a8c4c0a237612cf691490f6cb5a8feb165849c3cdddf4a460c1a52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Martinezof Pedro Martinez, David Jorda Sanchis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed David Jorda Sanchis | 14c | 4,535$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked David Jorda Sanchis | 8c | 2,213$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed David Jorda Sanchis | 12c | 1,598$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed David Jorda Sanchis | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pedro Martinez | 69c | 744.7$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…9779backed Pedro Martinez | 68c | 650$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed David Jorda Sanchis | 30c | 638.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed David Jorda Sanchis | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 478.66$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed David Jorda Sanchis | 31c | 388.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked David Jorda Sanchis | 37c | 299.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed David Jorda Sanchis | 30c | 295$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed David Jorda Sanchis | 31c | 234.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked David Jorda Sanchis | 17c | 223.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked David Jorda Sanchis | 19c | 190.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed David Jorda Sanchis | 33c | 182.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Pedro Martinez | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Pedro Martinez | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed David Jorda Sanchis | 14c | 137$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed David Jorda Sanchis | 14c | 92.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Pedro Martinez | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Pedro Martinez | 70c | 70.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pedro Martinez | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 66.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed David Jorda Sanchis | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked David Jorda Sanchis | 32c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed David Jorda Sanchis | 32c | 60.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 56.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 52.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Pedro Martinez | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…e17dbacked Pedro Martinez | 68c | 36.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked David Jorda Sanchis | 32c | 34.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed David Jorda Sanchis | 31c | 32.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pedro Martinez | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Pedro Martinez | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Pedro Martinez | 69c | 27.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Pedro Martinez | 70c | 26.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Pedro Martinez | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Pedro Martinez | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.