Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4484846c24063eb34d7e5df73f011e66cf6cd319f18d8eb76efa58f051b353d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 48,473$23,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,075.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 52c | 46,760$24,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,350.33 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 19,612$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,529.67 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 12,342$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.83 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 10,442$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 8,868$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.22 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 1,792$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.17 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 1,076$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3584…e59dbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 951.44$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.2 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 49c | 490$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 397.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 48c | 298.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 52c | 159.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 116.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 101.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Under | 50c | 73.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 37.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over | 51c | 32.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 50c | 31.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 50c | 30.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 71c | 27.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 48c | 25.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 49c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Over | 61c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-1.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-2.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri TigersTexas Longhorns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.