Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Lautaro Midon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44bd2e456ebc6e813a0ec2ce3e8deff5a844b8f13468b16ac8c3c14626faeb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Midonof Zarate, Midon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Midon | 73c | 1,209$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Zarate | 17c | 1,012$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Zarate | 19c | 795.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Zarate | 26c | 779$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Zarate | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Zarate | 26c | 646$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zarate | 10c | 504.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zarate | 12c | 487.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Zarate | 21c | 484.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zarate | 7c | 450.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Zarate | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Zarate | 18c | 281.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Midon | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Zarate | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Midon | 76c | 154.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Zarate | 37c | 133$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Midon | 72c | 132.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Midon | 71c | 131$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Zarate | 21c | 119.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Midon | 79c | 89.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Zarate | 19c | 77.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Zarate | 22c | 76.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zarate | 16c | 75.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Zarate | 28c | 72.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zarate | 27c | 66.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Midon | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Zarate | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zarate | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Midon | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Midon | 72c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Midon | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Midon | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Midon | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Midon | 72c | 22.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Midon | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Midon | 79c | 13.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.