CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OG (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c11bed948e79c3cb1f84ed9babafa2d6a42f2666951d720e55eb8b21dfd6fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked OG | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.93 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 50c | 571.8$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed OG | 58c | 520.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked OG | 56c | 410.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Lavked | 56c | 381.74$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 45c | 293.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked OG | 55c | 268.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Lavked | 45c | 237.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed OG | 35c | 232.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Lavked | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Lavked | 43c | 190.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed OG | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 48c | 174.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lavked | 45c | 129.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lavked | 48c | 124.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…4a81backed Lavked | 40c | 124.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lavked | 48c | 104.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Lavked | 43c | 97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked OG | 37c | 78.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lavked | 48c | 74.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Lavked | 45c | 74.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 42c | 68.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OG | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Lavked | 45c | 31.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 38c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 43c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lavked | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Lavked | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…caebbacked OG | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OG (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs OG - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.