Tennis · resolved market
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455c5f6002fa5bb4e3ea8937958a697575aa475aa2b6d3ac1bb0fb3e3bf3deae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 38c | 1,926$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…ce05backed Over 2.5 | 63c | 1,633$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 984.81$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.05 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Over 2.5 | 60c | 807.08$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Over 2.5 | 55c | 705.58$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.01 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 2.5 | 49c | 575.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 566.32$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 43c | 395$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over 2.5 | 51c | 378.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.48 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 52c | 211$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 194.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 191.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Under 2.5 | 31c | 130.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under 2.5 | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under 2.5 | 26c | 84.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under 2.5 | 29c | 81.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Over 2.5 | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 76.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 72.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over 2.5 | 74c | 66.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Over 2.5 | 75c | 60.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under 2.5 | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Over 2.5 | 70c | 49.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.5 | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under 2.5 | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under 2.5 | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under 2.5 | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under 2.5 | 31c | 33.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Over 2.5 | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Under 2.5 | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over 2.5 | 51c | 28.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Lehecka vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro TabiloJiri Lehecka won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs TabiloTabilo won
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Tabilo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.