Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Alafia Ayeni vs Benjamin Pietri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c38aeb4e91de867b0f96a7acac6ef9a842f9e486e522b78e454c5098a85709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benjamin Pietriof Alafia Ayeni, Benjamin Pietri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alafia Ayeni | 2c | 19,023$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Benjamin Pietri | 72c | 3,333$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.55 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Alafia Ayeni | 2c | 2,373$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Alafia Ayeni | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Alafia Ayeni | 27c | 1,426$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.01 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Alafia Ayeni | 2c | 943.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Alafia Ayeni | 2c | 943.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Benjamin Pietri | 52c | 892.63$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.46 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alafia Ayeni | 3c | 755$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Alafia Ayeni | 3c | 673.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Alafia Ayeni | 2c | 537$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Alafia Ayeni | 3c | 503.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Alafia Ayeni | 3c | 431.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alafia Ayeni | 36c | 361.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alafia Ayeni | 27c | 288.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Alafia Ayeni | 57c | 238.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Benjamin Pietri | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Benjamin Pietri | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alafia Ayeni | 45c | 130.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Alafia Ayeni | 54c | 121$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Benjamin Pietri | 72c | 119.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alafia Ayeni | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Benjamin Pietri | 72c | 64.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alafia Ayeni | 37c | 58.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alafia Ayeni | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Benjamin Pietri | 75c | 50.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alafia Ayeni | 41c | 49.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Benjamin Pietri | 55c | 45.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 42.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Benjamin Pietri | 75c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Benjamin Pietri | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Benjamin Pietri | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Benjamin Pietri | 30c | 34.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…a1c1backed Alafia Ayeni | 34c | 32.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Benjamin Pietri | 62c | 32.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alafia Ayeni | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked Benjamin Pietri | 71c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.