CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Finland vs Netherlands (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup West European Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45cc3ee5d905f884f33b9971f9e7574627d7f5d2653390d6c0e388094c40d396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Finlandof Finland, Netherlands
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Finland | 63c | 1,595$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.62 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Netherlands | 29c | 1,358$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Finland | 70c | 642.83$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Finland | 79c | 378.78$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Finland | 70c | 256.41$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Netherlands | 56c | 242.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Netherlands | 49c | 201.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Netherlands | 29c | 198.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Finland | 74c | 159$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed Netherlands | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Netherlands | 31c | 119.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Netherlands | 36c | 119.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Netherlands | 27c | 113.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Finland | 72c | 109.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Finland | 73c | 79.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Netherlands | 23c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Netherlands | 38c | 74.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Netherlands | 59c | 63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Netherlands | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Netherlands | 28c | 57.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Netherlands | 33c | 41.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Finland | 53c | 39.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Netherlands | 33c | 38.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Netherlands | 49c | 34.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Netherlands | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…68e1backed Finland | 76c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Finland | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Finland vs Netherlands (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup West European Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Finland vs Netherlands - Map 1 WinnerNetherlands won
- Counter-Strike: Finland vs Netherlands - Map 2 WinnerFinland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.