CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46aef618a8c312513ad8ec4c789b54812ed9cfe961210495231f4b1f49c2ad2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalem Aeremof Chinggis Warriors, Vitalem Aerem
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Vitalem Aerem | 29c | 2,000$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.97 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 71c | 1,269$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Chinggis Warriors | 74c | 701.39$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.5 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Chinggis Warriors | 70c | 625.79$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Vitalem Aerem | 68c | 436.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Vitalem Aerem | 71c | 310$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 18c | 294$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 36c | 278.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Chinggis Warriors | 40c | 222.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chinggis Warriors | 36c | 161.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Chinggis Warriors | 14c | 148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Chinggis Warriors | 70c | 143.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…425dbacked Vitalem Aerem | 30c | 104.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Vitalem Aerem | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Chinggis Warriors | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Chinggis Warriors | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Vitalem Aerem | 53c | 86.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chinggis Warriors | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Vitalem Aerem | 58c | 69.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vitalem Aerem | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vitalem Aerem | 52c | 60.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Vitalem Aerem | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Chinggis Warriors | 30c | 53.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Chinggis Warriors | 20c | 51.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chinggis Warriors | 70c | 48.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Vitalem Aerem | 31c | 44.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…3a57backed Chinggis Warriors | 35c | 42.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Chinggis Warriors | 63c | 41.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chinggis Warriors | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Vitalem Aerem | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Chinggis Warriors | 68c | 35.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…1a29backed Chinggis Warriors | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Vitalem Aerem | 34c | 31.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vitalem Aerem | 61c | 29.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 62c | 28.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Chinggis Warriors | 77c | 28.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Vitalem Aerem | 64c | 24.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Vitalem Aerem | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 1 WinnerVitalem Aerem won
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 2 WinnerVitalem Aerem won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.