NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Calgary Wranglers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b5fa99cb33dc0b06fad86b0fe8a4b35c176a03412b5c4f176e472a0a6e6920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Calgary Wranglers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 6,395$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.84 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 1,509$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.96 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 1,270$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 1,047$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.37 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 744$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 674.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 342$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 159.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 140.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 139.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Calgary Wranglers | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Henderson Silver Knights | 57c | 100.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 81.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 75.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Calgary Wranglers | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Calgary Wranglers | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Calgary Wranglers | 47c | 39.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 36.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Calgary Wranglers | 32c | 33.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Henderson Silver Knights | 61c | 27.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 27.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Calgary Wranglers | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.