La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4820fb50950bfbff1a6626c60d6256e9729ce6195f3e6f999de55b74a8f3b8c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 3,949$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.26 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 2,761$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.74 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 688.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.48 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 496.62$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.16 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 69c | 426.43$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 246.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 58c | 237.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 201.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 53c | 95.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 862 | 50.2%433 W · 429 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 635 | 58%368 W · 267 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked No | 80c | 62.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 27c | 54.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 621 | 54.4%338 W · 283 L | +28.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 61c | 45.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 80c | 45.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 37.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 647 | 32.3%209 W · 438 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 245 | 40%98 W · 147 L | -17.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 32.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1,658 | 51.7%858 W · 800 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 64c | 23.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will CD Tenerife vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.