La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Tenerife vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6101f28505beb28945a7aeca66f080714a63dd887d97fd054d394a158fc2e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 50c | 3,925$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.93 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 3,521$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.51 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 1,213$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.41 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 381 | 29.1%111 W · 270 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 70c | 356.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 59c | 307.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 45c | 245.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 200.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 14c | 178.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 510 | 48.6%248 W · 262 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 30c | 160.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 49c | 148.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 128.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked No | 59c | 72.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 30c | 50.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 38.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 647 | 32.3%209 W · 438 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tenerife vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-08-28?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.