Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48372328ed09e537bdb63391b92b3a6a21a1d97563fbf1d7018a2be66d617104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 31c | 3,647$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.31 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,268$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,021$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.36 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 760.53$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 711$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 702.92$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.81 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 552$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 515$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 7c | 357.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.82 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 24c | 240.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 31c | 160.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 152.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…f89dbacked Yes | 30c | 127.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 115.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 69c | 62.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 69c | 39.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 35.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 74c | 30.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked No | 71c | 28.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 23.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- Croatia leading at halftime?No won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.