CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FURIA (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4841c9ecd4b438eaf62cce8923edbbfadd0e1206d0f28b7e28c12ab5ba0b9a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Inner Circle Esports, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 67c | 32,199$21,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,535.92 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 5,624$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 4,309$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.88 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 4,210$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.2 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Inner Circle Esports | 27c | 3,736$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.38 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports | 15c | 3,282$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 2,275$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.92 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 2,000$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.93 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 1,811$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.64 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 1,160$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.24 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 1,069$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.69 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed FURIA | 69c | 1,013$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 1,009$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 666$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FURIA | 77c | 657.83$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 633.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed FURIA | 68c | 526$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 470$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 408$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 404.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 379.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…38edbacked Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 272.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Inner Circle Esports | 9c | 251.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Inner Circle Esports | 19c | 213$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed Inner Circle Esports | 28c | 196.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA | 76c | 172.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 69c | 169$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked FURIA | 79c | 165.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FURIA | 69c | 146.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked FURIA | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 144.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…edcfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 124.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 78c | 104.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked FURIA | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed FURIA | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed FURIA | 77c | 99.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 94.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Inner Circle Esports | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 76.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FURIA (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.