Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484e16c871aefa2f572fac4d1bbebd4c6b3648e3c1a319f0bef04778f6119d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,162$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,210$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.12 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,179$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 1,084$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.97 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,007$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.71 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Yes | 22c | 752$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 23c | 708.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 27c | 708.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 645.51$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…2a57backed Yes | 17c | 420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 417$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 322.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed Yes | 27c | 199.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 22c | 193.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 170.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 145.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…ed71backed Yes | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 74c | 132.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 116.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 26c | 113.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 107.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 74c | 99.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 88.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 73c | 85.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 26c | 75.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 73c | 67.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 63.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…5394backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 24c | 44.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 71c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 76c | 32.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 73c | 26.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 73c | 25.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 73c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 77c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 74c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.