TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes44c9,030$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.2317753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes44c8,184$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes24c4,122$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.422,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No74c3,365$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.6919340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No65c2,856$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.3582842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,928$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.375,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002516%4 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes15c1,191$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.623627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+249%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9912250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes51c988$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.883240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c979.84$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.182,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c830.21$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.431,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5492…d420backed Yes36c770.78$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No41c767.8$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.155420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes52c757.49$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.898854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No56c689.36$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3289245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No58c666$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.941850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes51c657.18$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.781,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes39c564.1$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes43c465.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8512861.7%79 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No53c464.65$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.882857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+114.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No68c441.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.194772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.6wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c342.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes21c340.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4584347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes51c340$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.041844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c316.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7670842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes51c301$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.513644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No77c296.85$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6320638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No61c262.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.521,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes49c223.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.591833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x112d…19cfbacked Yes51c193.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes33c189.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7592835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c180.73$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5674739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No57c121.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3324448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes42c119.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.682766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes36c103$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes55c101$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5310156.4%57 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No50c99.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1117058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Yes48c94.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes36c93.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4582053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes50c84.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5730049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.212634.1%43 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4713051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed No66c70.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes40c68.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes27c63.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173040%12 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c63.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5938849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No52c61.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.499944.4%44 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaae5…6c45backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Yes33c59.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c42…eef8backed Yes17c59.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes30c56.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7212956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed No35c55.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.271330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No77c55.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8531960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103070%21 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e8…5394backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb91b…eb19backed No58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked No75c41.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.474938.8%19 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c41.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.544152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes52c39.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.794238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed No76c38.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.982785.2%23 W · 4 L+9.2wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2eea…8ccebacked No56c36.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes42c30.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.969545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes50c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c95…b1afbacked Yes44c27.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No49c26.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.432654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c26.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No65c25.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7856445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No51c24.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.056368.3%43 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55eb…423dbacked Yes49c20.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x741b…a259backed No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick40cpaid+85.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Yes59c17.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.