Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Florida International Golden Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484ee085c207e318a21e92df4f3ca0a21aa84631f052f5f63501ba6f412f4f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Bearkatsof Sam Houston Bearkats, Florida International Golden Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 55c | 5,761$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 5,332$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.49 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 5,000$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.15 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 55c | 4,504$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.2 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 76c | 4,060$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.04 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 51c | 1,626$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 44c | 1,516$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 31c | 1,318$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 33c | 1,259$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 44c | 1,127$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.67 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 10c | 983$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 886.19$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.02 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 54c | 717.15$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 17c | 583$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 52c | 480.51$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.13 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 23c | 285.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 24c | 188.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 55c | 173$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 69c | 168.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…cdfcbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 58c | 144.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 43c | 91.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 48c | 91.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 55c | 73.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 70c | 72.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 49c | 71.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 57c | 46.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Florida International Golden Panthersthis page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 168.5Under won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-1.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.