Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ajaccio: Laurent Lokoli vs Dan Added
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c802c220fa1b48889720b097234a8549f5db08020940417b88abe0b054945b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laurent Lokoliof Laurent Lokoli, Dan Added
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Laurent Lokoli | 61c | 922.33$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dan Added | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dan Added | 39c | 449.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Laurent Lokoli | 64c | 403.85$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Dan Added | 36c | 290.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Dan Added | 32c | 117.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dan Added | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Laurent Lokoli | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Dan Added | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Laurent Lokoli | 41c | 60.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Laurent Lokoli | 64c | 56.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Laurent Lokoli | 59c | 53.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Laurent Lokoli | 61c | 50.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dan Added | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Laurent Lokoli | 61c | 45.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Dan Added | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Dan Added | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Dan Added | 39c | 40.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dan Added | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dan Added | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Laurent Lokoli | 45c | 38.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Laurent Lokoli | 61c | 36.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Laurent Lokoli | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Laurent Lokoli | 63c | 34.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Laurent Lokoli | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…a376backed Dan Added | 39c | 29.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.