Cricket · resolved market
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49986fb207b5ecaa6dc2de11616eecf336e9726b90518dcc1d74c37fc1137ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Norway, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked France | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…40f6backed France | 59c | 938.23$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.34 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked France | 44c | 860.4$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.11 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Norway | 61c | 607.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Norway | 68c | 505.5$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Norway | 37c | 440$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked France | 43c | 439.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed France | 45c | 427.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Norway | 58c | 419.15$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed France | 38c | 385.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed France | 4c | 326.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked France | 39c | 283.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed France | 46c | 202.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked France | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed France | 33c | 179.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Norway | 54c | 169.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed France | 42c | 160.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked France | 17c | 111.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked France | 22c | 110.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Norway | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Norway | 51c | 98.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Norway | 58c | 98.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed France | 46c | 96.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked France | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Norway | 71c | 88.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…9e5dbacked France | 40c | 71.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed France | 69c | 61.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…77f0backed Norway | 59c | 53.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Norway | 70c | 47.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked France | 37c | 43.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked France | 39c | 39.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norway | 56c | 38.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…0d17backed France | 55c | 31.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed France | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…7145backed Norway | 55c | 26.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Norway | 47c | 26.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Norway | 62c | 26.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked France | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…18d8backed France | 41c | 24.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed France | 43c | 24.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed France | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Norway | 50c | 20.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Norway | 65c | 18.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs Francethis page
- T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.