College Football · resolved market
Spread: Washington (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x499f133d8984f965de8b66ac9d9aba2ce7a86c73535687a912d233449b98d0c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Washington, Rutgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers | 49c | 18,223$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,896.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Washington | 52c | 15,951$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Washington | 52c | 5,914$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.6 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Washington | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rutgers | 50c | 3,087$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.45 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rutgers | 48c | 1,897$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.91 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rutgers | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rutgers | 51c | 938.37$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.77 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rutgers | 50c | 770.5$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.25 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Washington | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Washington | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Washington | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…04f5backed Rutgers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Rutgers | 53c | 256.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Rutgers | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rutgers | 47c | 210.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Washington | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Washington | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Washington | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Rutgers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Rutgers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Rutgers | 50c | 44.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Washington | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Rutgers | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Rutgers | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington (-10.5)this page
- Rutgers vs. WashingtonWashington won
- Rutgers vs. Washington: O/U 59.5Under won
- Rutgers vs. Washington: O/U 60.5Under won
- Rutgers vs. Washington: O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Washington (-11.5)Washington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.