MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49d71de949fb81302a1f47fa4fb3356f6f81997f197f7008ba444c47ce693ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Over | 40c | 14,782$5,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,842.75 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 60c | 9,295$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.91 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 61c | 5,860$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.24 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 40c | 1,141$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.53 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 60c | 990.21$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.09 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 60c | 851.26$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.5 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 763.92$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 61c | 507.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 479.88$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 58c | 403.04$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 40c | 395.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 40c | 340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 60c | 333.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 60c | 314.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 268.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 246.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…8093backed Under | 58c | 199.94$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 171.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 61c | 169.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 61c | 144.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 133.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 40c | 120.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 41c | 117.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 40c | 114.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 114.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 51c | 112.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 91.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 85.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 42c | 75.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 41c | 72.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Over | 42c | 67.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 40c | 62.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 40c | 62.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 40c | 62.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 40c | 62.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 43.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 39.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 40c | 37.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 58c | 34.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 59c | 34.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked Under | 61c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 49c | 26.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 61c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 61c | 20.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 61c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 55c | 18.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.